Jasmine Crockett Explodes at Supreme Court After Texas Ruling

“Neither Ken Paxton nor John Cornyn appears positioned to reach 50% on the primary ballot, as the Republican electorate remains sharply divided,” Kimball said. “With Wesley Hunt gaining traction at 16%, a runoff between Cornyn and Paxton now appears likely in May.”

In general election matchups, both Democrats remain competitive.

Paxton tied with both Talarico and Crockett at 46 percent each, while Cornyn edged Talarico 47 to 44 percent and led Crockett 48 to 43 percent.

According to Ad Impact Politics, Talarico’s campaign and supporting PACs have spent more than $15 million, while Crockett’s campaign and allied groups have spent nearly $3 million.