Trump-Aligned Former NFL Reporter Tafoya Opens Up Big Lead in Minn. Primary

🔴 Michele Tafoya:… pic.twitter.com/o07jKIYp4y

— Quantus Insights (@QuantusInsights) May 21, 2026

A Public Policy Polling survey conducted in late April showed Flanagan leading Craig 44 percent to 33 percent, continuing a trend seen in earlier polling throughout the year.

Previous January surveys similarly showed Flanagan maintaining an advantage ranging from 8 to 13 points.

Major election forecasters, including the Cook Political Report, currently rate the seat as leaning Democratic due to Minnesota’s recent voting history and partisan makeup

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