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Fragmentation and regional instability, where competing factions could provoke conflict, reduce institutional effectiveness, and exacerbate humanitarian crises.
Beyond the immediate political and economic consequences, Maduro’s capture may also influence regional and global diplomacy. Countries with longstanding interests in Latin America—ranging from trade partners to security allies—are likely to reassess policies toward Venezuela.
Some may seize the opportunity to encourage reform, while others might seek to exploit uncertainty for strategic advantage. Observers note that Venezuela’s position as a major oil producer, coupled with its geographic location and social dynamics, makes any transition highly consequential not only for Latin America but for global energy markets, migration patterns, and international security frameworks.
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